This can be dedicated to individuals who would like to put money into individual stocks. I would like to share along the techniques I have tried personally in the past to pick stocks that we have discovered to become consistently profitable in actual trading. I like to make use of a combination of fundamental and technical analysis for choosing stocks. My experience indicates that successful stock selection involves two steps:
1. Select a share while using the fundamental analysis presented then
2. Confirm how the stock is an uptrend as indicated by the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average Line (EMA) being over the 100-Day EMA
This two-step process boosts the odds how the stock you end up picking is going to be profitable. It even offers a sign to trade Chuck Hughes which includes not performed as you expected if it’s 50-Day EMA drops below its 100-Day EMA. It can be another useful way for selecting stocks for covered call writing, a different type of strategy.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is the study of monetary data including earnings, dividends and your money flow, which influence the pricing of securities. I use fundamental analysis to help you select securities for future price appreciation. Over time I have tried personally many methods for measuring a company’s rate of growth in an attempt to predict its stock’s future price performance. I purchased methods including earnings growth and return on equity. I have discovered these methods are certainly not always reliable or predictive.
Earning Growth
For instance, corporate net income is at the mercy of vague bookkeeping practices including depreciation, income, inventory adjustment and reserves. These are typical at the mercy of interpretation by accountants. Today as part of your, corporations they are under increasing pressure to beat analyst’s earnings estimates which results in more aggressive accounting interpretations. Some corporations take special “one time” write-offs on his or her balance sheet for such things as failed mergers or acquisitions, restructuring, unprofitable divisions, failed developing the site, etc. Many times these write-offs are certainly not reflected being a drag on earnings growth but rather arrive being a footnote over a financial report. These “one time” write-offs occur with additional frequency than you might expect. Many businesses that form the Dow Jones Industrial Average took such write-offs.
Return on Equity
Another popular indicator, which has been found is not necessarily predictive of stock price appreciation, is return on equity (ROE). Conventional wisdom correlates a high return on equity with successful corporate management which is maximizing shareholder value (the better the ROE the better).
Recognise the business is more successful?
Coca-Cola (KO) with a Return on Equity of 46% or
Merrill Lynch (MER) with a Return on Equity of 18%
The solution is Merrill Lynch by any measure. But Coca-Cola includes a much higher ROE. How is possible?
Return on equity is calculated by dividing a company’s net gain by stockholder’s equity. Coca-Cola is so over valued that its stockholder’s equity is just add up to about 5% with the total market value with the company. The stockholder equity is so small that almost anywhere of net gain will create a favorable ROE.
Merrill Lynch alternatively, has stockholder’s equity add up to 42% with the market value with the company as well as a greater net gain figure to create a comparable ROE. My point is the fact that ROE doesn’t compare apples to apples then is not a good relative indicator in comparing company performance.
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